A number of managing agents have advised us of update forecasts for the 2011 year of account and initial estimates for the 2012 year of account as at 31 March 2013.

These are as follows:

QBE syndicate 386

 

Year of account

Current Forecast range

Previous Forecast range

2011

20.5% to 25.5%

16.7% to 21.7%

2012

11.7% to 16.7%

n/a

Kiln Syndicate 308

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

1.6% to 6.6%

4.0% to 9.0%

2012

5.3% to 10.3%

2.1% to 12.1%

Kiln Syndicate 510

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

3.6% to 8.6%

2.5% to 7.5%

2012

0.1% to 5.1%

-2.7% to 7.3%

Kiln Syndicate 557

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

5.4% to 10.4%

3.5% to 8.5%

2012

0.0% to 5.0%

-6.8% to 3.2%

Kiln Syndicate 807

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

-4.9% to 0.1%

-4.7% to 0.3%

Asta Syndicate 2525

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

-5.0% to 5.0%

-6.1% to -2.1%

2012

-10.0% to 5.0%

n/a

Asta Syndicate 2526

 

Year of account

Current Forecast Range

Previous Forecast Range

2011

-5.0% to 5.0%

-6.1% to -2.1%

2012

-10.0% to 5.0%

n/a

 

The update to Kiln’s forecasts was accompanied by a press release that can be found here.

A summary of forecasts as at 31 March 2013 received to date is attached here. We expect a complete list from Lloyd's before the end of the month.