Tokio Marine Kiln Syndicates Limited reported updated forecasts based on data as at 30 June 2018 for its managed syndicates as follows

Syndicate 308

 

year of account

Capacity
£000s

Revised forecast Range

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2016

31,879

-14.6% to -9.6%

-16.0% to -11.0%

1.42 points better

2017

30,887

-54.8% to -49.8%

-54.8% to -49.8%

unchanged

Syndicate 510

 

year of account

Capacity
£000s

Revised forecast Range

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2016

1,061,786

-1.1% to 3.9%

-3.0% to 2.0%

1.93 points better

2017

1,130,535

-12.4% to -7.4%

-12.3% to -7.3%

0.2 points worse

Syndicate 557

 

year of account

Capacity
£000s

Revised forecast Range

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2016

34,710

13.3% to 18.3%

12.0% to 17.0%

1.33 points better

2017

34,060

-31.2% to -26.2%

-36.3% to -31.3%

5.1 points better

Charles Franks, Chief Executive Officer of Tokio Marine Kiln, said  “For the 2016 year of account all three syndicates are showing a small improvement. This is because of a stable quarter in our back year development, and in particular reducing ultimate losses for the 2017 Q3 catastrophes. Our Claims teams continue to work hard to handle remaining losses and support our customers quickly and compassionately.

“On the pricing front we have, like others, seen some improvements in selected areas but the overall market remains tough and competitive. In keeping with our long-held stance on discipline and bottom-line focus, we have realigned our underwriting teams on those markets and lines of business that are showing the best medium to long-term business opportunities for us and reduced our presence in other marginal parts of the account.

“Syndicate 308 continues into run-off and we are servicing the existing business professionally and will ensure that there is no detriment to policyholders as a result of this action.

“The impact of an active catastrophe environment in the second half of the 2017 financial year is reflected in the forecasts for Syndicates 510 and 557. The 2017 year of account for both 510 and 557 experienced losses on Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, the Mexican earthquakes and the Californian wildfires, all of which had a substantial impact on the forecast ranges. The forecast loss range for Syndicate 557 has improved following favourable claim movements on the open years. A relatively stable quarter has seen the forecast range for Syndicate 510 marginally improve."

The full TMK press release can be found here.